Pete Alonso, the New York Mets’ powerful first baseman, is set for a bounce-back 2025 season after a disappointing 2024 campaign. Known for his prodigious power and ability to drive in runs, Alonso has seen his OPS dip in recent years, but everything is lining up for a return to form this upcoming season. With an improved supporting cast, a favorable lineup, and a solid track record, the 2025 season could see him return to the 800 OPS range and surpass the 100 RBI mark once again.

A Rocky 2024 Season, but a Bright Future Ahead

The 2024 season wasn’t what Pete Alonso had hoped for. After finishing with a career-low .760 OPS and just 89 RBIs, it became clear that Alonso’s offensive production had taken a hit. His power numbers—still impressive—didn’t shine as brightly as in previous years, and his on-base percentage took a noticeable dip. The 2024 season saw a significant decline in Alonso’s plate discipline, with an uptick in strikeouts and a decrease in walks. Yet, his bat still held its power, as he finished with 39 home runs, but his overall consistency wasn’t where the Mets needed it to be.

However, there’s reason for optimism. Alonso has a proven track record, with 2023 seeing him finish with a 3.7 WAR, 40 home runs, and an OPS of .869. Even after a down year, Alonso is still one of the top sluggers in the game. A healthy and motivated Alonso in 2025, backed by an upgraded roster, could easily bounce back to his usual 35-40 home run range with an OPS in the mid-.800s, if not better.

An Improved Supporting Cast

One of the most exciting elements of Alonso’s 2025 outlook is the revamped lineup surrounding him. The Mets made significant moves this offseason to bolster their offense, including trading for superstar outfielder Juan Soto, who immediately became one of the most feared hitters in the game. With Soto joining Francisco Lindor—who has become a leader in the Mets’ lineup—Alonso will find himself in a much more favorable situation at the plate. These two hitters, with their ability to get on base and disrupt pitchers, will give Alonso more opportunities with runners on base.

Lindor, with his speed and on-base skills, and Soto, a master of the walk and with elite contact skills, will set the stage for Alonso to drive in even more runs. In fact, it’s highly probable that Alonso sees more pitches to hit this year, as pitchers will be focused on limiting the damage from Lindor and Soto ahead of him. That could help Alonso’s numbers as pitchers may avoid challenging him with their best stuff, allowing for more hittable pitches and increased RBI opportunities.

More Runners on Base = More RBIs

The most important aspect of Alonso’s 2025 projections comes down to the increased number of runners he’ll have on base. In the past, he has thrived in these situations, where his raw power and ability to hit for extra bases has helped him rack up huge RBI totals. In 2023, Alonso finished with 131 RBIs, his highest total since his rookie season, thanks in large part to a loaded Mets lineup that featured the likes of Lindor, Jeff McNeil, and others.

With Soto and Lindor ahead of him, the Mets’ top of the order will be one of the best in the league. Lindor’s on-base percentage is a career-high .343, and Soto’s patience at the plate ensures he will frequently find himself on base. This creates a perfect situation for Alonso, whose power can drive in runs at a consistent clip. Even if Alonso’s batting average stays in the .250s—his typical range—his ability to get on base via walks and his raw power will keep him among the top RBI men in the league. Expect a strong return to over 100 RBIs, potentially reaching the 110-120 range, which will not only boost his value but also help propel the Mets into the postseason conversation.

A Return to 800+ OPS Territory

Alonso’s offensive ceiling remains incredibly high. In his prime, he’s shown the ability to put up OPS figures in the .850 range, and it’s not far-fetched to expect him to return to that level. His 2025 campaign should see him regain his power stroke while being more selective at the plate, which will allow him to keep his strikeouts in check and get on base at a higher rate.

As pitchers focus on getting around the big names in the Mets’ lineup, Alonso could see more pitches to hit and capitalize on them, improving his on-base percentage and keeping his slugging percentage strong. A 40-home run season isn’t out of the question either, with his ability to go deep to all fields when fully locked in. The key for Alonso will be consistency, and a return to his previous approach at the plate should see him regain the form he displayed in 2023, where he posted an impressive .869 OPS.

Conclusion: A Big Year for Pete Alonso

With a better lineup surrounding him, an improved approach at the plate, and a chance to hit in more run-scoring opportunities, Pete Alonso’s 2025 season is shaping up to be a strong one. Expect his OPS to rise back into the 800-range, and with consistent run production, 100+ RBIs are very much within reach. As long as Alonso stays healthy and keeps a focused approach, he’ll once again be one of the top power hitters in the National League. The 2025 season could very well be a return to his elite form, and if he performs as expected, he will be a key piece in the Mets’ potential playoff push.